Below is a classic example of the Government's line on what is currently happening in the NHS. Basically, so it says, although there are a few little problems here and there, the vast majority of things are getting better.
Is the picture painted in this Department of Health press release accurate? If it is, then the extra money pumped into the NHS has 'worked'.
Consultant and GP numbers on the upPublished: Thursday 26 May 2005
Reference number: 2005/0190
New figures published today by Health Minister, Lord Warner show that there are more consultants and GPs working in the NHS in England delivering faster, better care for patients.There are now 7,542 more consultants and 3,331 more GPs working in the NHS than were in 1999. These staff are helping to bring about big improvements to services for patients:
· improving access – waiting times are now falling consistently so that all heart bypass operations and angioplasties are now done within three months, compared to a two-year wait before 1997
· Almost everyone in England can now see a GP within 48 hours (99.98 per cent)
· GP practices are providing higher quality services, for example over 1.5 million people suffering from diabetes and 2.5 million suffering from asthma are now receiving care to best practice standards
· more than 99% of people with suspected cancers are seen by a specialist within a fortnight of referral by their GP.
Lord Warner said:
"These figures show a continued growth in the number of consultants and GPs working in the NHS. This is having a huge impact on patients, helping them to access treatment faster and get better care.
"It is these people who are responsible for the real changes we are seeing in patient care, the falling waiting times, the improvement in survival rates for cancer and coronary heart disease and the changing role of the NHS from being a sickness service to a true health service through community based initiatives such as our stop smoking services.
“This growth in doctor numbers – and the growth announced recently for the whole NHS – provides the platform for us to deliver a patient led NHS.
“We realise that some pockets of the NHS still struggle to recruit all the staff they need, which is why we are constantly trying to make the NHS a more attractive employer through improved pay and conditions, flexible working and increased access to childcare."
Related links
Statisitcal publicationNotes to editor:
1. The number of Consultants in the NHS increased by 213 between September 2004 and December 2004.2. The number of GPs in the NHS increased by 275 between September 2004 and December 2004.
3. The total number of Consultants in England as at 30 September 1997 was 21,474. As at 31 December 2004 this figure was 30,863- an increase of 9,389.
4. The total number of GPs (excluding GP retainers and GP registrars) in England as at 1 October 1997 was 28,046. As at 31 December 2004 this figure was 31,798- an increase of 3,752.
5. Further information about the mini-census can be found at the link provided:
One is so accustomed to spin, carefully selected statistics, misleading statistics, distorted statistics and so on from this government, that one is inclined to be distrustful. Yet since the government itself is in charge of the production of statistics, figures and explanations it is not so easy to produce a rebuttal.
Here, for the time being, are some off-the-cuff suspicions and comments:
1. I understand that it now takes less time to become a consultant. So not all consultants now would have been called consultants in 1997. The figures are not genuinely comparable. The big rise may not be what it appears.
2. The claimed rise in the number of GPs is much more modest at only 13.4 per cent since 1997. But these figures appear to be headcount figures, not 'full time equivalent' figures. More and more GPs are women working part time. So what is the change in full-time-equivalent GPs? Does the GP figure include or exclude GPs from other countries like Germany?
3. What has been the change in administrative staff, incidentally? A far bigger rise, I believe.
4. The claim that "more than 99% of people with suspected cancers are seen by a specialist within a fortnight of referral by their GP" is surprising. I was recently told by a cancer consultant that some 40 per cent of the patients at her hospital in London are not seen by a consultant but that the cases are discussed with a consultant. To a layman, there would seem to be quite a big difference.
5. Then there are all the figures which are not mentioned:
The waits for diagnostic procedures such as MRI scans which are still very long in many parts of the country.
The availability or otherwise of advanced diagnostic machines, new and better surgical procedures and the more expensive drugs.
As I have mentioned before, I visited one hospital in Miami on my recent visit there. That hospital had one of the latest 64 slice CT scanners. In Britain, only one hospital in the entire country apparently has such a machine. The underuse of many kinds of drugs from Aricept (for dementia) to Cox 2 inhibitors (for athritis) is spectacular in Britain.
GP services remain almost entirely reactive - even when it comes to the elderly. The regular health check-ups that are routine in some other countries are practically unknown here.
A physiotherapist who cares for NHS patients tells me that in her part of Hampshire, provision of NHS physiotherapy has significantly deteriorated in recent years.
I would be grateful for comments - favourable or otherwise - from medical practitioners on what they consider to be the reality of the new, well-funded NHS.
UPDATE 15/6/05
Comment from one doctor quoted in the Guardian today in an article about hip fractures:
Most patients requiring a so-called neck-of-femur repair to correct the injury are older women, and most already have other medical things wrong with them, says Christopher Bulstrode, professor of orthopaedics at Oxford University and a council member of the Royal College of Surgeons of Edinburgh. "They are very difficult to anaesthetise. You can lose them because they have dicky hearts, hypertension or are suffering dehydration. We give them to the most junior surgeons; we operate in the middle of the night and, surprise surprise, they don't do very well.
The article is part of an assessment of NHS performance. It is probably valuable in assessing the performance of NHS trusts in comparison with each other. Unfortunately it is not focused on NHS preformance compared with the past or, most important of all, other countries.
Posted by James Bartholomew • Indexed in NHS
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I wonder why I have to wait 10 days to see my doctor if things are so good? In a practice of 8 doctors plus god knows how many backroom staff it should be easy. Mind you from having one day off as lead dr. on therapeutical drugs he now is on another committee dealing with NHS matters. So much for the vocation! I am afraid that too many doctors are in it for the money especially as the hours are nothing like those my family doctor worked in the 50s, on his own.
Posted by: Derek Buxton at June 15, 2005 01:15 PM
The "seen within a fortnight" might be a variant of the waiting times scam in GPs that was exposed in the local press here.
Basically the target is no-one waits for more than 48 hours to see a GP.
The practical result of this (this is happening at my Docs certainly) is that to make it work you can't book until 48 hours before the appointment. So the target is met but nothing changes.
Posted by: Paul at June 16, 2005 07:39 AM
Paul, the 48 hour scan is almost universal. Mine just tells you to ring first thing on the day you want an appointment. Of course, the line is normally engaged.
Everyone knows about this, except Tony Blair, who, incredibly, found it hard to believe when questioned about it during the election.
Posted by: HJHJ at June 16, 2005 01:54 PM
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Medical practitioners are unlikely to be too forthcoming, James, as the current system suits them - they have forced the government to stuff their pockets with gold (as Tony blair recently boasted, GPs are now paid twice as much as in France - a country with a much better healthcare system).
As for consultants, ask yourself why we have them at all rather than why we don't have more. It's a comfy closed shop (the equivalent of QCs in the legal system). Other countries don't have consultants, they just have specialist doctors.
Posted by: HJHJ at June 14, 2005 10:53 PM